URL details: compsocialscience.org/publication/explanation-prediction-causality/
URL title:
Explanation, Prediction, and Causality: Three Sides of the Same Coin? | jakehofman.com
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In this essay we make four interrelated points. First, we reiterate previous arguments (Kleinberg et al 2015) that forecasting problems are more common in social science than is often appreciated. From this observation it follows that social scientists should care about predictive accuracy in addition to unbiased or consistent estimation of causal relationships. Second, we argue that social scientists should be interested in prediction even if they have no interest in forecasting per se. Whether they do so
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